PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT
Financial review - Profit and loss account
Net profit
In 2008 Eni's net profit was €8,825 million compared with €10,011 million a year ago, down €1,186 million, or 11.8%. This result was influenced by lower reported operating profit, which was down €227 million or 1.2%, as the weaker operating performance reported by Eni's downstream businesses was partly offset by an improved performance in the Exploration & Production division driven by the strong pricing environment experienced until September 2008. The full year result was reduced as both higher financial charges (down €681 million) and income taxes (down €473 million) were recorded, the latter associated with higher taxes currently payable recorded by subsidiaries of the Exploration & Production division operating outside Italy.
On the positive side, an adjustment was recorded relating to deferred tax for Italian companies and for Libyan activities reflecting new tax rules, effective from January 1, 2008 (for more details on tax matters see the following discussion under income taxes).
Financial review - Net profit attributable to Eni
Adjusted net profit
Eni's adjusted net profit for the year was €10,201 million compared with €9,470 million a year ago, up €731 million, or 7.7%. Adjusted net profit is calculated by excluding an inventory holding loss of €723 million and special charges of €653 million net, resulting in an overall adjustment equal to an increase of €1,376 million.
Special charges mainly related to fixed asset impairments, environmental provisions, redundancy incentives, as well as provisions for risks on pending litigation. In addition, the Company incurred an expense in the form of a contribution of €200 million to the solidarity fund pursuant to Italian Law Decree No. 112/2008 to be used to subsidize the gas bills for residential uses of less affluent citizens. Special gains mainly regarded the abovementioned adjustments to deferred tax liabilities, and gains recorded on the divestment of certain assets in the Engineering & Construction and Refining & Marketing divisions.
Return On Average Capital Employed (ROACE) calculated on an adjusted basis was 17.6% (19.3% in 2007).
Eni's results for 2008 were achieved in a trading environment characterized by a significant increase in Eni's oil and gas realizations (up 28.1% on average) on the back of a favourable scenario until September with Brent prices up 33.7% from 2007.
Margins on gas sales were affected by an unfavourable trading environment also reflecting exchange rate movements. Refining activities were positively influenced by a strong margin environment (Brent refining margins were up 43.6%, to 6.49$/bbl). A steep decline was registered in selling margins of commodity chemicals due to higher supply costs of oil-based feedstock that were not fully recovered in sales prices and weak demand. Eni's results were negatively affected by the 7.3% appreciation of the euro against the dollar.
The breakdown of adjusted net profit by division is shown in the table below:
Financial review - Adjusted net profit by division
The increase in the Group adjusted net profit mainly reflected a higher result reported by:
- the Exploration & Production division achieved an increase of €1,517 million in adjusted net profit, up 23.4%, due to a better operating performance (up €3,365 million, or 23.9%) driven by higher realizations in dollars (oil up 24.2%; natural gas up 47.8%) and production growth (up 20.1 mmboe). These improvements were partially offset by the appreciation of the euro against the dollar (up 7.3%), rising operating costs and higher amortization charges, also due to increased exploration activity (increasing by approximately €420 million at constant exchange rates). Income taxes increased by €2,289 million also due to higher adjusted tax rate (from 54.5% to 55.7%);
- the Refining & Marketing division reported higher adjusted results (up €191 million, or 59.9%) as operating performance increased from a year ago (up €237 million, or 72%). This better result reflected both the favourable trading environment in the refinery activity and higher realized marketing margins and an increasing retail market share achieved in marketing activities;
- the Engineering & Construction division reported improved net profit (up €126 million, or 19.1%) driven by a better operating performance which was up €201 million, or 23.9%, due to favourable industry trends.
These increases were partly offset by weaker results reported by the following divisions.
- The Gas & Power division reported a decreased adjusted net profit (down €286 million, or 9.7%) due to a weaker operating performance (down €551 million, or 13.5%). This shortfall was due to lower gas demand and stronger competitive pressures that particularly impacted the volume performance on the Italian market.
These negatives were partly offset by increased international sales due to organic growth recorded in the European markets and the contribution of the acquisition of Distrigas, as well as higher seasonal sales recorded in the first quarter. The regulated businesses in Italy and the international transport activity delivered improved performance, reflecting higher handled volumes;
- The Petrochemicals division incurred a loss at both the operating level and the bottom line (equal to €363 million and €306 million respectively). This shortfall was due to a steep decline in commodity chemical margins, reflecting higher supply costs of oil-based feedstock and end-markets lower demand.
Analysis of Profit and Loss Account Items
Net sales from operations
Financial review - Net sales from operations
Eni's net sales from operations (revenues) for 2008 (€108,148 million) were up €20,892 million from 2007, or 23.9%, primarily reflecting higher realizations on oil, products and natural gas in dollar terms and higher natural gas sales volumes due to the acquisition of Distrigas. These positives were partially offset by the impact of the appreciation of the euro versus the dollar (up 7.3%).
Revenues generated by the Exploration & Production division (€33,318 million) increased by €6,040 million or 22.1%, mainly due to higher realizations in dollars (oil up 24.2%, natural gas up 47.8%). Eni's liquid realizations (84.05 $/bbl) were affected by the settlement of certain commodity derivatives relating to the sale of 46 mmbbl in the year, with a negative impact of $4.13 per barrel (for a more detailed explanation about this issue see the discussion on results of the Exploration & Production division below). Revenue increases in 2008 were also driven by production growth (up 20.1 mmboe, or 3.3%). These improvements were partially offset by the appreciation of the euro against the dollar.
Revenues generated by the Gas & Power division (€36,936 million) increased by €9,303 million, up 33.7%, mainly due to higher average natural gas prices reflecting trends in energy parameters to which gas prices are contractually indexed, as well as increased international sales due to the contribution of the acquisition of Distrigas and organic growth recorded in European target markets, partly offset by lower volumes sold in Italy
due to the impact of the economic downturn and competitive pressure.
Revenues generated by the Refining & Marketing division (€45,083 million) increased by €8,682 million, up 23.9%, mainly due to higher international prices for oil and products and higher product volumes sold (up 1.1%) partly offset by the impact of the appreciation of the euro over the dollar.
Revenues generated by the Petrochemical division (€6,303 million) decreased by €631 million, down 9.1%, mainly reflecting a decline in volumes sold (down 15%) due to weaker demand.
Revenues generated by the Engineering & Construction division (€9,176 million) increased by €498 million, up 5.7%, due to increased activity levels.
Operating expenses
Financial review - Revenues generated by the Engineering & Construction
Operating expenses for the year (€80,412 million) increased by €18,433 million from 2007, up 29.7%.
Purchases, services and other (€76,408 million) increased by €18,229 million, up 31.3%, mainly reflecting higher purchase prices of natural gas as well as higher prices for refinery and petrochemical feedstock due to market trends in oil commodities and rising dollar-denominated operating expenses in the Exploration & Production division due to full consolidation of acquired assets and the impact of sector-specific inflation. Those increases were partly offset by the appreciation of the euro over the dollar.
Purchases, services and other include special charges amounting to €761 million mainly relating to environmental and other risk provisions as well as impairments of certain current assets. In 2007 non recurring items amounting to €91 million mainly related to risk provisions on ongoing antitrust and regulatory proceedings, while other special charges of €470 million mainly related to environmental and other risk provisions and other impairments.
Payroll and related costs (€4,004 million) increased by €204 million, up 5.4%, mainly due to higher unit labour cost in Italy and an increase in the average number of employees outside Italy that was recorded mainly in the Exploration & Production, following the consolidation of acquired assets, as well as increased personnel in the Engineering & Construction business due to higher volumes. In addition in 2007 a non-recurring gain of €83 million was recorded in connection with the curtailment of the provision for post-retirement benefits relating to obligations towards Italian employees. These increases were partly offset by exchange rate translation differences.
Depreciation, depletion, amortization and impairments
Financial review - Depreciation, depletion, amortization and impairments
Depreciation, depletion and amortization charges (€8,422 million) increased by €1,393 million, up 19.8%, mainly in the Exploration & Production division (up €1,250 million) in connection with: (i) rising development amortization charges reflecting the consolidation of assets acquired and increased expenditures to develop new fields and to sustain production performance of mature fields; (ii) higher exploration expenditures reflecting execution of a greater number of exploration projects (up by €420 million on a constant exchange rate basis). These negatives were partly offset by the appreciation of the euro against the dollar.
Impairment charges of €1,393 million mainly regarded proved and unproved mineral properties in the Exploration & Production division due to changes in regulatory and contractual frameworks for certain properties, cost increases, as well as a changed pricing environment. A number of plants and equipments in the Refining & Marketing and Petrochemical divisions were impaired due to lower expected profitability associated with a worsening pricing/margin environment.
The breakdown of impairment charges by division is shown in the table below:
Financial review - Impairment charges by division
Operating profit
The breakdown of reported operating profit by division is provided below:
Financial review - Operation profit
Adjusted operating profit
The breakdown of adjusted operating profit by division is provided below:
Financial review - Adjusted operating profit
Adjusted operating profit in 2008 amounted to €21,793 million, up €2,087 million or 14.8% from 2007. Adjusted operating profit is arrived at by excluding an inventory holding gain of €936 million and special charges of €2,216 million net. The increase reported in adjusted operating profit reflected better operating performance delivered by:
- the Exploration & Production division that achieved an increase of €3,365 million from 2007, up 23.9%, primarily due to higher hydrocarbon realizations in dollar terms (up 28.1% on average) and production growth (up 20.1 mmboe), partly offset by the euro's appreciation against the dollar (up 7.3%) and rising costs and amortization charges;
- the Refining & Marketing division (up €237 million, or 72%) driven by higher margins. The refining business benefited from a generally favorable scenario (Brent margin of 6.49 $/bbl was up 43.6% from 2007) partially offset by higher planned and unplanned downtime, the euro's appreciation against the dollar and rising refining utility expenses and CO2 emission costs. Also marketing activities in Italy reported a stronger operating result due to higher retail margins and higher product volumes sold due to the increased market share. The wholesale activity benefited from higher margins;
- the Engineering & Construction division achieved an increase of €201 million from 2007, or 23.9%, due to higher activity levels.
These increases were partly offset by weaker results reported by:
- the Gas & Power division (down €551 million or 13.5%) affected by a weaker performance recorded by marketing activities, which was partly offset by improved results achieved by the regulated businesses in Italy and international transport activity;
- the Petrochemical division (down €465 million), due to a steep decline in commodity chemical margins, reflecting higher supply costs of oil-based feedstock that were not fully recovered in sales prices and end-markets weak demand.
Finance income (expense)
Financial review - Finance income
In 2008 net finance expenses were recorded amounting to €764 million increasing by €681 million from 2007. This was mainly due to: (i) increased average net borrowings, as well as the impact of higher interest rates on euro-denominated finance debt (Euribor up 0.3 percentage points) partially offset by lower interest rates on dollar loans (Libor down 2.4 percentage points); (ii) a net loss of €551 million (as compared to a net gain of €26 million in 2007) recognized in connection with fair value evaluation through profit and loss of certain derivatives instruments that are not designated as effective hedging instruments under IFRS, including both settled transactions and re-measurement gains and losses, mainly related to instruments on exchange rates. A gain from an equity instrument amounting to €241 million was recorded (€188 million in 2007) relating to the contractual remuneration of 9.4% on the 20% interest in OAO Gazprom Neft according to the contractual arrangements between Eni and Gazprom (for more details on this matter see the Balance Sheet discussion under the paragraph "Net working capital").
Net income from investments
The table below sets forth the breakdown of net income from investments by division for 2008.
Financial review - Net income from investments
In 2008 net income from investments was a net gain of €1,373 million and mainly related to: (i) Eni's share of profit of entities accounted for with the equity method (€640 million), in particular in the Gas & Power and Exploration & Production divisions; (ii) net gains on the divestment of interest in Gaztransport et Technigaz SAS (€185 million) in the Engineering & Construction division and of the interest in Agip España by the Refining & Marketing division (€15 million); (iii) dividends received by entities accounted for at cost (€510 million), mainly related to Nigeria LNG Ltd.
The table below sets forth a breakdown of net income/loss from investments for the periods presented:
Financial review - Net income/loss from investments
Income taxes
Financial review - Income taxes
Income taxes were €9,692 million, up €473 million, or 5.1%, mainly reflecting increased income taxes currently payable recorded by subsidiaries in the Exploration & Production division operating outside Italy due to higher taxable profit. The increased taxes currently payable were partly offset by an adjustment to deferred tax relating to:
- utilization of deferred tax liabilities recognized on higher carrying amounts of year-end inventories of oil, gas and refined products stated at the weighted-average cost with respect to their tax base according to the last-in-first-out method (LIFO) by Italian subsidiaries (€528 million). Pursuant to recently enacted Law Decree No. 112 of June 25, 2008 (Converted in to Law No. 133/2008) energy companies in Italy are required from now on to state inventories of hydrocarbons at the weighted-average cost for tax purposes as opposed to the previous LIFO evaluation and to recognize a one-off tax calculated by applying a special rate of 16% on the difference between the two amounts. Accordingly, profit and loss benefited from the difference between utilization of deferred tax liabilities and the one-off tax with a net gain of €229 million. This one-off tax will be paid in three annual instalments of same amount, due from 2009 onwards. Deferred taxation was accrued on hydrocarbons inventories based on the applicable statutory tax rate of 33% as enacted in June 2008 compared with 27.5% of the previous tax regime;
- application of the statutory tax rate of 33% pursuant to Law Decree No. 112/2008 replacing the previously applicable tax rate of 27.5% on certain deferred tax assets of Italian subsidiaries resulting in a gain of €94 million;
- application of the Italian Budget Law for 2008 that provided an increase in limits whereby carrying amounts of assets and liabilities of consolidated subsidiaries can be recognized for tax purposes by paying a one-off tax calculated by applying a special rate of 6% rate resulting in a net positive impact on profit and loss of €290 million;
- enactment of a renewed tax framework in Libya regarding oil companies operating in accordance with production sharing schemes. Based on the new provisions, the tax base of the Company's Libyan oil properties has been reassessed resulting in the partial utilization of previously accrued deferred tax liabilities (€173 million).
These positives were partly offset by the circumstance that in 2007 Eni made use of an option provided in the annual Budget Law whereby the Company aligned the carrying amounts of certain fixed assets to their tax base by paying a one-off tax and recycling trough profit and loss excess deferred taxation resulting in a net positive impact of €773 million.
Adjusted tax rate, calculated as the ratio of income taxes to net profit before taxes on an adjusted basis, was 51.4% (48.7% in 2007). This increase was due to a higher share of profit earned by subsidiaries in the Exploration & Production division which bear a higher tax rate than the Group average tax rate.
Minority interest
Minority interest's share of profit was €733 million and related to Snam Rete Gas SpA (€254 million) and Saipem SpA (€407 million).
Divisional performance(1)
Exploration & Production
Financial review - Exploration & Production
Exploration & Production business
Adjusted operating profit of the Exploration & Production business for 2008 was €17,233 million, up €3,448 million or 25% from a year earlier. The improvement mainly reflected higher realizations in dollars (oil up 24.2%; natural gas up 47.8%) and increased production sales volumes (up 20.1 mmboe). These improvements were partially offset by the appreciation of the euro against the dollar (down approximately €1,200 million), rising operating costs and higher amortization charges due to the consolidation of acquired assets, higher exploratory expenses (approximately €420 million on a constant exchange rate basis), as well as higher production royalties.
Storage business
In 2008 adjusted operating profit reported by the natural gas storage business was €183 million down €83 million or 31.2% from 2007.
Adjusted net profit of the Exploration & Production division for 2008 increased by €1,517 million or 23.4% from 2007 to €8,008 million. This was due to an improved operating performance (up €3,365 million, or 23.9%) and higher profit from investments, mainly related to dividends received by associate Nigeria LNG Ltd, partly offset by higher adjusted tax rate (from 54.5% to 55.7%).
Special charges accounted for in adjusted operating profit of €1,001 million mainly regarded impairments of proved and unproved properties mainly due to a revision of the oil price scenario and capital expenditures profile.
Special charges accounted for in adjusted net profit primarily regarded an adjustment to deferred tax associated with the enactment of a renewed tax framework in Libya applicable to oil companies operating in accordance with production sharing schemes. Based on the new provisions, the tax base of the Company's Libyan oil properties has been reassessed resulting in the partial utilization of previously accrued deferred tax liabilities.
Liquids and gas realizations increased on average by 28.1% in dollar terms driven by the strong market environment of the first nine months of the year. Eni's liquids realizations for the full year amounted to $84.05 per barrel (up 24.2%) and were reduced by pproximately $4.13 per barrel due to the settlement of certain commodity derivatives relating to the sale of 46 mmbbl in the year, as follows:
- in the first three quarters of the year liquid realizations were reduced on average by $6.02 per barrel from the sale of 34.5 mmbbl;
- in the fourth quarter liquid realizations were increased by $1.36 per barrel from the sale of 11.5 mmbbl.
These derivatives were entered into in 2007 to hedge future cash flows in the 2008-2011 period from the commodity risks on the sale of approximately 2% of Eni's proved reserves as of 2006 year-end (125.7 mmbbl) associated with certain asset purchases in the Gulf of Mexico and Congo that were executed in 2007.
In 2008 average gas realizations were supported by a favourable trading environment and also a better sales mix reflecting higher volumes marketed on the basis of spot prices on the U.S. market.
Liquid realizations and the impact of commodity derivatives were as follows:
Financial review - Gas & Power
In 2008, the Gas & Power division reported adjusted operating profit of €3,541 million, a decrease of €551 million or 13.5% from 2007. This decrease reflected lower results recorded by marketing activities, partially offset by an improved performance delivered by the regulated businesses in Italy and international transport.
Special charges for 2008 amounted to €37 million (€7 million reported by the marketing business and €30 million reported by the regulated businesses in Italy) mainly regarding provisions for environmental charges, redundancy incentives and losses on asset disposal.
Adjusted net profit of €2,650 million decreased by €286 million or 9.7% from 2007. The decline in operating profit (down €551 million) was partly offset by a decline in adjusted tax rate (from 35.1% to 33.2%).
Marketing
This business reported adjusted operating profit of €1,469 million, representing a decrease of €759 million or 34.1% from 2007 mainly due to:
- lower sales volumes of gas in Italy related to the impact of lower gas demand recorded in the fourth quarter of the year and competitive pressure;
- a negative trading environment particularly related to movements in exchange rates;
- the fact that certain provisions accrued in previous reporting periods were partially recycled through 2007 profit and loss due to favourable developments in Italy's regulatory framework. Those provisions were originally accrued due to the implementation of Resolution No. 248/2004 and following ones by the Italian Authority for Electricity and Gas regarding the indexation mechanism of the raw material cost in supply contracts to resellers and residential customers;
- lower sales volumes of electricity (down 9.8%) reflecting lower production availability and weak demand.
These negatives were partly offset by higher international sales volumes that were achieved particularly in European markets, the contribution of the acquisition of Distrigas (up €90 million), and stronger weather-related sales recorded in the first quarter.
Regulated businesses in Italy
This business reported adjusted operating profit
of €1,549 million for 2008, an increase of €130 million or 9.2% from 2007. The increase was delivered both by the distribution activity, up €48 million, and by the transport activity, up €82 million as a result of higher volumes reflecting the positive impact of weather conditions, the recognition in tariff of expenditures incurred for network upgrading and lower operating expenses.
International Transport
This business reported adjusted operating profit of €523 million, up €78 million or 17.5% from 2007, mainly reflecting higher volumes transported due to the full operation of the capacity upgrading of the TTPC gas transport infrastructure.
Other performance indicators
Follows a breakdown of the proforma adjusted EBITDA by business:
Financial review - Proforma adjusted EBITDA
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization charges) on an adjusted basis is calculated by adding amortization and depreciation charges to adjusted operating profit on a pro forma basis.
This performance indicator, which is not a GAAP measure under either IFRS or U.S. GAAP, includes:
- The full adjusted EBITDA of Eni's consolidated subsidiaries except for Snam Rete Gas that is included according to Eni's share of equity (55.59% as of December 31, 2008), although being fully consolidated when preparing consolidated financial statements in accordance with IFRS, due to its status of listed company.
- Eni's share of adjusted EBITDA generated by certain affiliates which are accounted for under the equity method for IFRS purposes.
Management also evaluates performance in Eni's Gas & Power division on the basis of this measure taking account of the evidence that this division is comparable to European utilities in the gas and power generation sector. This measure is provided with the intent to assist investors and financial analysts in assessing the Eni Gas & Power divisional performance as compared to its European peers, as EBITDA is widely used as the main performance indicator for utilities.
Refining & Marketing
Financial review - Refining & Marketing
In 2008, the Refining & Marketing division reported an adjusted operating profit of €566 million, an increase of €237 million, or 72%, from a year ago. The improvement reflected a favourable refining environment (Brent margin was 6.49 $/bbl, up 43.6% from 2007) partly offset by higher planned and unplanned refinery downtime, the euro's appreciation against the dollar and rising refining utility expenses and higher CO2 emission costs.
Marketing activities in Italy reported higher operating results due to a recovery in selling margins and increased sales volumes as a result of an increased market share. Wholesale marketing business reported increasing operating results due to higher margins.
Adjusted net profit was €510 million, up €191 million, or 59.9%, mainly due to a better operating performance and higher profits of equity-accounted entities. These positives were partly offset by increased income taxes.
Special charges excluded from adjusted operating profit amounted to €390 million, mainly related to impairment of refining plants and service stations due to an unfavourable trading environment as well as environmental charges. Other special items not accounted for in adjusted net profit mainly related to net gains on disposal of the entire share capital of the subsidiary Agip España SA (€15 million).
Petrochemicals
Financial review - Petrochemicals
The Petrochemical division incurred an adjusted operating loss of €375 million, down €465 million from 2007. This shortfall was due to a steep decline in commodity chemical margins, reflecting higher supply costs of oil-based feedstock that were not fully recovered in sales prices and lower demand on end-markets.
Special charges excluded from adjusted operating loss of €281 million related mainly to impairment of assets, in particular: (i) the Sicily and Porto Marghera plants for the production of aromatics due to an expected unfavourable trading environment; (ii) the Mantova plant for the production of styrene due to a structural decline expected in demand from user sectors; (iii) the Sicilian plants for the production of polyethylene due to commoditization, lower demand and higher competitive pressures.
Engineering & Construction
Financial review - Engineering & Construction
Adjusted operating profit was €1,041 million, up €201 million or 23.9%, from 2007 due to a better operating performance recorded in all business areas, in particular: (i) Onshore and Offshore construction due to improved margins; (ii) Offshore drilling due to higher tariffs and higher activity levels of the Scarabeo 3 as well as the of Perro Negro 2 jack up and the start up of Perro Negro 7 jack up; (iii) Onshore drilling due to higher activity levels in South America.
Adjusted net profit of 2008 was €784 million, up €126 million from 2007 due to a better operating performance, partly offset by higher income taxes.
Other activities
Financial review - Other activities
Adjusted operating loss of €244 million increased by €37 million from 2007, mainly due to impairment losses.
Special charges excluded from operating losses of €102 million mainly related to environmental charges (€101 million) and provisions for redundancy incentives.
Corporate and financial companies
Financial review - Corporate and financial companies
The aggregate Corporate and financial companies reported an adjusted operating loss of €277 million (€183 million in 2007) excluding special charges of €409 million related mainly to an expense in the form of a contribution of €200 million to the solidarity fund pursuant to Italian Law Decree No. 112/2008 to be used to subsidize the gas bills for residential uses of less affluent citizens, environmental provisions, expected charges on pending litigation and redundancy incentives.
The adjusted net loss (€612 million) increased by €471 million from 2007 reflecting the negative impact of the financing performance as a result of the increase registered in average net borrowings.
NON-GAAP measures
Reconciliation of reported operating profit and reported net profit to results on an adjusted basis
Management assesses Group and business performance on the basis of adjusted operating profit and adjusted net profit, which are arrived at by excluding inventory holding gains or losses and special items. Further, when determining adjusted net profit of each business segment, certain other items are excluded and specifically they are finance charges on finance debt, interest income, exchange rate differences and gains or losses deriving from evaluation of certain derivative financial instruments at fair value through profit or loss as they do not meet the formal criteria to be assessed as hedges under IFRS, including both settled transactions and re-measurement gains and losses. The taxation effect of the items excluded from adjusted net profit is determined based on the specific rate of taxes applicable to each item. The Italian statutory tax rate of 33% is applied to finance charges and income recorded by companies in the energy sector, whilst a tax rate of 27.5% is applied to all other companies from January 1, 2008 (33% in previous reporting periods for all companies). Adjusted operating profit and adjusted net profit are non-GAAP financial measures under either IFRS, or U.S. GAAP. Management includes them in order to facilitate a comparison of base business performance across periods and allow financial analysts to evaluate Eni's trading performance on the basis of their forecasting models. In addition, management uses segmental adjusted net profit when calculating return on average capital employed (ROACE) by each business segment.
The following is a description of items that are excluded from the calculation of adjusted results.
Inventory holding gain or loss is the difference between the cost of sales of the volumes sold in the period based on the cost of supplies of the same period and the cost of sales of the volumes sold calculated using the weighted average cost method of inventory accounting.
Special charges include certain significant income or charges pertaining to either: (i) infrequent or unusual events and transactions, being identified as nonrecurring items under such circumstances; or (ii) certain events or transactions which are not considered to be representative of the ordinary course of business, as in the case of environmental provisions, restructuring charges, asset impairments or write ups and gains or losses on divestments even though they occurred in past periods or are likely to occur in future ones. As provided for in Decision No. 15519 of July 27, 2006 of the Italian market regulator (CONSOB), non recurring material income or charges are to be clearly reported in the management's discussion and financial tables.
Finance charges or income related to net borrowings excluded from the adjusted net profit of business segments are comprised of interest charges on finance debt and interest income earned on cash and cash equivalents not related to operations.
In addition gains or losses on the fair value evaluation of abovementioned derivative financial instruments which include both settled transactions andre-measurement gains and losses and exchange rate differences are excluded from the adjusted net profit of business segments. Therefore, the adjusted net profit of business segments includes finance charges or income deriving from certain segment-operated assets, i.e., interest income on certain receivable financing and securities related to operations and finance charge pertaining to the accretion of certain provisions recorded on a discounted basis (as in the case of the asset retirement obligations in the Exploration & Production division). Finance charges or interest income and related taxation effects excluded from the adjusted net profit of the business segments are allocated on the aggregate Corporate and financial companies.
For a reconciliation of adjusted operating profit and adjusted net profit to reported operating profit and reported net profit see tables below.
Financial review - 2008 Reported operating profit
Financial review - 2007 Reported operating profit
Financial review - 2006 Reported operating profit
Breakdown of special items
Financial review - Special items
Breakdown of impairment
Summarized Group balance sheet
The summarized Group balance sheet aggregates the amount of assets and liabilities derived from the statutory balance sheet in accordance with functional criteria which consider the enterprise conventionally divided into the three fundamental areas focusing on resource investments, operations and financing. Management believes that this summarized group balance sheet provides useful information in assisting investors to assess Eni's capital structure and to analyze its sources of funds and investments in fixed assets and working capital. Management uses the summarized group balance sheet to calculate key ratios such as return on capital employed (ROACE) and the proportion of net borrowings to shareholders' equity (leverage) intended to evaluate whether Eni's financing structure is sound and well-balanced.
Summarized Group Balance Sheet (a)
Financial review - Summarized Group Balance Sheet
Year end currency translation differences increased the carrying amounts of net capital employed and shareholders' equity by approximately €970 million and €1,070 million respectively, and reduced net financial debt by €100 million, compared to 2007 year end amounts. These changes were mainly driven by the depreciation of the euro against the dollar (at December 31, 2008 the EUR/USD exchange rate was 1.392 as compared to 1.472 at December 31, 2007, down 5.4%). At December 31, 2008, net capital employed totalled €66,886 million, representing an increase of €7,692 million from December 31, 2007.
Fixed assets
Fixed assets amounted to €74,379 million, representing an increase of €11,532 million from December 31, 2007.
The increase reflected:
(i) capital expenditures incurred in the year (€14,562 million);
(ii) the acquisition of assets and investments mainly related to inclusion in consolidation of Distrigas NV (€2,932 million) following the acquisition of the majority stake of 57.243%, and the Burren Energy acquisition (€2,444 million) completed in January 2008 following an agreed tender offer on the entire share capital of the entity, and the purchase of a number of assets (€1,471 million, including the 100% stake of First Calgary Petroleum, a 52% stake in the Hewett Unit in the North Sea from Tullow Oil and inclusion in consolidation of the Indian company Hindustan Oil Exploration Co. following the acquisition of a 47.17% stake enabling Eni to take control upon execution of a mandatory tender offer subsequent to the acquisition of Burren Energy;
(iii) currency translation differences.
These increases were partly offset by depreciation, depletion and amortization charges and impairment losses incurred in the year (€9,815 million).
The item Intangible assets included among fixed assets, increased by €3,382 million mainly due to the acquisition of Distrigas NV: (i) intangible assets with definite useful lives were recognized upon purchase price allocation amounting to €1,395 million associated with customer relationship, order backlog and software. These assets are amortized based on respectively the extension of the supply contracts with the longest maturity (19 years), the remaining useful life of sale contracts (four years) and the economic remaining useful life; (ii) Eni's share of goodwill amounting to €1,245 million.
The increase in intangible assets was also due to the recognition of mineral potential and goodwill following the acquisition of Burren Energy (€415 million) and an intangible asset associated with a project to upgrade certain fields acquired in the Hewett Unit to achieve a gas storage facility (€208 million).
Compulsory stock decreased by €975 million and related to crude oil, petroleum and petrochemical products. The decrease was due to the impact of the reduction in oil and product prices on the evaluation of inventories at their net realisable values as of end of the year.
The item Investments among fixed assets comprises a 60% interest in Arctic Russia BV (the former Eni Russia BV) amounting to €895 million. As of the balance sheet date Artic Russia held 100% interest in three Russian companies acquired on April 4, 2007 in partnership with Enel (Eni 60%, Enel 40%), following award of a bid for Lot 2 in the Yukos liquidation procedure. The three companies - OAO Arctic Gas, OAO Urengoil and OAO Neftegaztechnologiya - engage in exploration and development of gas reserves. Eni and Enel granted to Gazprom a call option to acquire a 51% interest in the three companies to be exercisable by Gazprom within 24 months from the acquisition date. Eni assesses the investment in Arctic Russia BV under the equity method as it jointly controls the three entities based on ongoing shareholder arrangements, therefore exercising significant influence in the financial and operating policy decisions of the investees. This 60% interest corresponds to the present ownership interest of Eni in the acquired companies determined by not taking into account the possible exercise of the call option by Gazprom. The carrying amount of the three entities is lower than the strike price of the call option with respect to the underlying stake. The strike price equals the bid price as modified by subtracting dividends received and adding possible share capital increases, a contractual remuneration of 9.4% on the capital employed and financing collateral expenses.
The carrying amount of the expropriated assets relating to the Dación oilfield in Venezuela (corresponding to €563 million as of December 31, 2007) has been reclassified from the item Other assets to Net payables related to capital expenditures, following the settlement agreement with the Republic of Venezuela in February 2008. Under the terms of this agreement, Eni will receive cash compensation, a part of which has been already collected in the year, to be paid in seven yearly instalments, yielding interest income from the date of the settlement. The net present value of this cash compensation is in line with the book value of assets, net of the related provisions.
Net working capital
At December 31, 2008, net working capital amounted to a negative €6,614 million, representing a decrease of €3,608 million, mainly due to:
(i) an increase of €1,837 million recorded in the item Other liabilities related to:
(a) proceeds on advances received by the partner Suez following the signing of a number of
long-term gas and electricity supply contracts (€1,552 million);
(b) the put option granted to Publigaz (the Distrigas minority shareholder) to divest its 31.25% stake in Distrigas to Eni, as defined by the Shareholders' Agreement signed on July 30, 2008, for a total amount of €1,495 million based on the same per-share price of the ongoing mandatory tender offer to minorities as part of the Distrigas acquisition. This liability was recognized against the Group's net equity.
These negatives have been compensated in part by the positive change of €2,233 million (from a negative €2,251 million to a negative €28 million; respectively down €1,383 million and down €28 million net of taxes) in fair value of certain derivative instruments Eni entered into to hedge exposure to variability in future cash flows deriving from the sale in the 2008-2011 period of approximately 2% of Eni's proved reserves as of December 31, 2006 corresponding to 125.7 mmbbl, decreasing to 79.7 mmboe as of end of December 2008 due to transactions settled in the year. These hedging transactions were undertaken in connection with acquisitions of oil and gas assets in the Gulf of Mexico and Congo in 2007. The effective portion of changes in fair value of these hedges is recognized directly in equity, whilst the ineffective portion is recognized in profit and loss;
(ii) an increase in risk provisions (€1,087 million) due to increased asset retirement obligations in the Exploration & Production division, reflecting the impact of lower interest rates when discounting the liability and changes in estimated costs, as well as provisions accounted for environmental risks and risks on pending litigation;
(iii) an increase recorded in tax payables, due to income taxes accrued for the year, partly offset by a decrease in net deferred tax liabilities for Italian companies and for Libyan activities against an increase in deferred tax liabilities against an increase in deferred tax liabilities recognized in connection with the acquisitions of the year.
These changes have been offset by the increase in oil, natural gas and petroleum products stock (up €583 million), due to (i) the consolidation of Distrigas gas inventories (€322 million); (ii) the higher value of gas inventories reflecting the upward trend in natural gas prices (€661 million). These increases were partly offset by a reduction of €718 million in oil and petroleum products inventories due to the impact of the reduction in oil and product prices on the evaluation of inventories at their net realisable values as of end of the year.
The item Equity instruments among net working capital comprises the carrying amount for €2,741 million ($3,815 million based on the exchange rate at December 31, 2008) of a 20% interest in OAO Gazprom Neft acquired on April 4, 2007 following finalization of a bid within the Yukos liquidation procedure. This entity is currently listed at the London Stock Exchange where approximately 5% of the share capital is traded, while Gazprom currently holds a 75% stake. This accounting classification reflects the circumstance that Eni granted to Gazprom a call option on the entire 20% interest to be exercisable by Gazprom within 24 months from the acquisition date, at a price of $3.7 billion equalling the bid price, as modified by subtracting dividends distributed and adding possible share capital increases, a contractual remuneration of 9.4% on the capital employed and financing collateral expenses.
The existing Shareholders' Agreements establish that the governance of the investee will be modified to allow Eni to exercise significant influence through participation in the financial and operating policy decisions of the investee in case Gazprom does not exercise its call option. The carrying amount of the interest equals the strike price of the call option as of December 31, 2008. Eni decided not to adjust the carrying amount of the interest to the market prices at the balance sheet date resulting in $1,961 million for the following reasons:
(i) in case Gazprom exercises the call option, the price paid to Eni will be equal to the current carrying amount;
(ii) in case Gazprom does not exercise the call option, Eni will be granted significant influence in the decision-making process of the investee and consequently will be in a position to assess the investee in accordance with the equity method of accounting provided by IAS 28 for interests in associates. Under the equity method, Eni is required to allocate the purchase price to the corresponding interest in net equity and the residual amount to fair values of the investee's assets and liabilities. Subsequently, the carrying amount is adjusted to reflect Eni's share of losses and profits of the investee. Based on available information and the outcome of an impairment test performed also with the support of the independent consultant, the equity method assessment would result in an amount not lower than the current currying amount of the investee.
Net assets held for sale including related net borrowings were €68 million and related to the Engineering & Construction division's 20% stake in Fertinitro (Fertilizantes Nitrogenados de Oriente) which produces fertilizers.
Return On Average Capital Employed (ROACE)
Return on Average Capital Employed for the Group, on an adjusted basis is the return on the Group average capital invested, calculated as ratio between net adjusted profit before minority interest, plus net finance charges on net borrowings net of the related tax effect, and net average capital employed.
The tax rate applied on finance charges is the Italian statutory tax rate of 33% effective from January 1, 2008. The capital invested as of period-end used for the calculation of net average capital invested is obtained by deducting inventory gains or losses as of in the period, net of the related tax effect ROACE by division is determined as the ratio between adjusted net profit and net average capital invested pertaining the each division and rectifying the net capital invested as of period-end, from net inventory gains or losses (after applying the division specific tax rate).
Financial review - 2008 Return On Average Capital Employed
Financial review - 2007 Return On Average Capital Employed
Financial review - 2006 Return On Average Capital Employed
Net borrowings and leverage
Leverage is a measure of a company's level of indebtedness, calculated as the ratio between net borrowings which is calculated by excluding cash and cash equivalents and certain very liquid assets from financial debt and shareholders' equity, including minority interests. Management makes use of leverage in order to assess the soundness and efficiency of the Group balance sheet in terms of optimal mix between net borrowings and net equity, and to carry out benchmark analysis with industry standards. In the medium term, management plans to maintain a strong financial structure targeting a level of leverage up to 0.40.
Financial review - Net borrowings and leverage
Net borrowings at December 31, 2008 were amounted to €18,376 million and increased by €2,049 million from December 31, 2007.
Total debt amounted to €20,837 million, of which €6,908 million were short-term (including the portion of long-term debt due within 12 months for €549 million) and €13,929 million were long-term.
Ratio of net borrowings to shareholders' equity including minority interest - leverage - was unchanged at 0.38 with respect to end of 2007.
Changes in shareholders' equity
Financial review - Changes in shareholders' equity
Shareholders' equity including minority interest amounted to €48,510 million and increased by €5,643 million. This increase reflected net profit for the period (€9,558 million), a change in fair value evaluation of certain cash flow hedges taken to reserve (€1,203 million net of the related tax effect) and foreign currency translation effects. These increases were partly offset by the payment of dividends (€5,207 million, of which €4,910 million were paid by Eni SpA) as well as a deduction associated with the repurchase of shares in 2008 (€778 million).
Reconciliation of net profit and shareholders' equity of the parent company Eni SpA to consolidated net profit and shareholders' equity
Financial review - Reconciliation of net profit and shareholders' equity
Summarized Group cash flow statement and change in net borrowings
Eni's summarized group cash flow statement derives from the statutory statement of cash flows. It enables investors to understand the link existing between changes in cash and cash equivalents (deriving from the statutory cash flows statement) and in net borrowings (deriving from the summarized cash flow statement) that occurred from the beginning of period to the end of period. The measure enabling such a link is represented by the free cash flow which is the cash in excess of capital expenditure needs. Starting from free cash flow it is possible to determine either:
(i) changes in cash and cash equivalents for the period by adding/deducting cash flows relating to financing debts/receivables (issuance/repayment of debt and receivables related to financing activities), shareholders' equity (dividends paid, net repurchase of own shares, capital issuance) and the effect of changes in consolidation and of exchange rate differences;
(ii) changes in net borrowings for the period by adding/deducting cash flows relating to shareholders' equity and the effect of changes in consolidation and of exchange rate differences.
The free cash flow is a non-GAAP measure of financial performance.
Summarized Group Cash Flow Statement (a)
Financial review - Summarized Group Cash Flow Statement
Changes in net borrowings
Financial review - Changes in net borrowings
In 2008 net cash provided by operating activities (€21,801 million) including proceeds on advances received from the partner Suez (€1,552 million) following the signing of a number of long-term gas and electricity supply contracts, and cash from divestments (€1,160 million) was used to fund the majority of cash outflows relating to:
(i) capital expenditures totaling €14,562 million; (ii) payment of dividend by Eni SpA (€4,910 million), as well as dividend payment from certain consolidated subsidiaries to minorities (€288 million, mainly relating to Snam Rete Gas and Saipem); (iii) the acquisition of assets and investments (€5,848 million; €4,305 million, net of the acquired cash of €1,543 million) mainly related to the acquisition of the majority stake of 57.243% in Distrigas NV, the completion of the acquisition of Burren Energy Plc and the purchase of certain upstream properties and gas storage assets; (vi) share repurchases by the parent company Eni SpA for a total amount of €778 million.
Capital expenditures
Financial review - Capital expenditures
In 2008 capital expenditures amounted to €14,562 million (€10,593 million in 2007), of which 84% related to the Exploration & Production, Gas & Power and Refining & Marketing divisions and concerned mainly:
- Development activities (€6,429 million) deployed mainly in Kazakhstan, Egypt, Angola, Congo and Italy;
- Exploration projects (€1,918 million) of which 93% was spent outside Italy, primarily in the United States, Egypt, Nigeria, Angola and Libya;
- the purchase of proved and unproved property for €836 million related mainly to the extension of mineral rights in Libya following an agreement signed in October 2007 with the state company NOC and the purchase of a 34.81% interest in the Abo project in Nigeria;
- Development and upgrading of Eni's natural gas transport and distribution networks in Italy (€1,130 million and €233 million, respectively) and upgrading of natural gas import pipelines to Italy (€233 million);
- Ongoing construction of combined cycle power plants (€107 million);
- The Refining & Marketing division (€965 million) for projects aimed at upgrading the conversion capacity and flexibility of refineries, including construction of a new hydrocracking unit at the Sannazzaro refinery, building of new service stations and upgrading of existing ones in Italy and outside Italy (€298 million);
- Upgrading of the fleet used in the Engineering & Construction division (€2,027 million).
Investments and purchase of consolidated subsidiaries and businesses (cash outflow in 2008 being €5,848 million; €4,305 million net of the acquired cash of €1,543 million) mainly related to: (i) the acquisition of the 57.243% majority stake in Distrigas NV (€2,751 million; €1,271 million net of the acquired cash of €1,480 million); (ii) the completion of the acquisition of Burren Energy Plc (cash outflow in 2008 being €1,789 million or €1,695 million net of acquired cash of €94 million): total cash consideration for this transaction amounted to €2,358 million which includes the amount of Burren's shares purchased in December 2007); (iii) the purchases of certain upstream properties and gas storage assets (cash outflow in 2008 being €914 million or €944 million including acquired net borrowings of €30 million), related to the entire share capital of the Canadian company First Calgary operating in Algeria, a 52% stake in the Hewett Unit in the North Sea, a 20% stake in the Indian company Hindustan Oil Exploration Co; (iv) other investments in non-consolidated entities mainly related to funding requirements for an LNG project in Angola (€254 million).
Disposals amounting to €1,042 million (€1,097 million including discharged net borrowings of €118 million) mainly related to the sale of the Engineering & Construction division's 30% stake in GTT (Gaztransport et Technigaz SAS), a company owning a patent for the construction of tanks to transport LNG and the sale of Agip España by the Refining & Marketing division.
Dividends paid and changes in minority interests and reserves amounting to €6,005 million mainly related to: (i) total cash dividends to Eni shareholders (€4,910 million, of which €2,551 million pertained to the payment of the balance of the dividend for fiscal year 2007 and €2,359 million pertained to the payment of an interim dividend for fiscal year 2008); (ii) dividend payment for fiscal year 2007 from certain consolidated subsidiaries to minorities (€212 million, mainly relating to Snam Rete Gas and Saipem); (iii) the payment of an interim dividend for fiscal year 2008 by Snam Rete Gas of €76 million; (iv) share repurchases by the parent company Eni SpA for a total amount of €778 million.
From January 1 to December 31, 2008 a total of 35.9 million own shares were purchased at a cost of €778 million (on average €21.672 per share). Since the beginning of the share buy-back plan (September 1, 2000), Eni has purchased 398.5 million of its own shares, equal to 9.95% of capital stock at issue, at a total cost of €6,971 million (for an average cost of €17.495 per share) representing 94.21% of the amount authorized by the Shareholders Meeting.
Reconciliation of summarized Group balance sheet and statement of cash flows to statutory schemes
Summarized Group balance sheet
Financial review - Summarized Group balance sheet
continued Summarized Group balance sheet
Financial review - Summarized Group balance sheet 2
Summarized Group Cash Flow Statement
Financial review - Summarized Group Cash Flow Statement
Continued Summarized Group Cash Flow Statement
Financial review - Summarized Group Cash Flow Statement 2
RISK FACTORS AND UNCERTAINTIES
Foreword
The main risks that the Company is facing and actively monitoring and managing are the following: (i) the market risk deriving from exposure to fluctuations in interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates and commodity prices; (ii) the credit risk deriving from the possible default of a counterparty; (iii) the liquidity risk deriving from the risk that suitable sources of funding for the Group's operations may not be available; (iv) the country risk in the upstream business; (v) the operational risk; (vi) the possible evolution of the Italian gas market; (vii) the specific risks deriving from exploration and production activities.
Financial risks are managed in respect of guidelines defined by the parent company, targeting to align and coordinate Group companies policies on financial risks.
Market risk
Market risk is the possibility that changes in currency exchange rates, interest rates or commodity prices will adversely affect the value of the Group's financial assets, liabilities or expected future cash flows.
The Company actively manages market risk in accordance with a set of policies and guidelines that provide a centralized model of conducting finance, treasury and risk management operations based on three separate entities: the parent company's (Eni SpA) finance department, Eni Coordination Center and Banque Eni which is subject to certain bank regulatory restrictions preventing the Group's exposure to concentrations of credit risk. Additionally, in 2007, Eni Trading & Shipping was established and has the mandate to manage and monitor solely commodity derivative contracts.
In particular Eni SpA and Eni Coordination Center manage subsidiaries' financing requirements in and outside of Italy, respectively, covering funding requirements and using available surpluses. All transactions concerning currencies and derivative financial contracts are managed by the parent company as well as the activity of trading certificates according to the European Union Emission Trading Scheme. The commodity risk is managed by each business unit with Eni Trading & Shipping ensuring the negotiation of hedging derivatives. Eni uses derivative financial instruments (derivatives) in order to minimize exposure to market risks related to changes in exchange rates and interest rates and to manage exposure to commodity prices fluctuations. Eni does not enter into derivative transactions on a speculative basis.
The framework defined by Eni's policies and guidelines prescribes that measurement and control of market risk be performed on the basis of maximum tolerable levels of risk exposure defined in accordance with value at risk techniques. These techniques make a statistical assessment of the market risk on the Group's activity, i.e., potential gain or loss in fair values, due to changes in market conditions taking account of the correlation existing among changes in fair value of existing instruments. Eni's finance departments define maximum tolerable levels of risk exposure to changes in interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates, pooling Group companies risk positions. Eni's calculation and measurement techniques for interest rate and foreign currency exchange rate risks are in accordance with established banking standards, as established by the Basel Committee for bank activities surveillance. Tolerable levels of risk are based on a conservative approach, considering the industrial nature of the company. Eni's guidelines prescribe that Eni's Group companies minimize such kinds of market risks. With regard to the commodity risk, Eni's policies and guidelines define rules to manage this risk aiming at the optimization of core activities and the pursuing of preset targets of industrial margins. The maximum tolerable level of risk exposure is pre-defined in terms of value at risk in connection with trading and commercial activities, while the strategic risk exposure to commodity prices fluctuations - i.e. the impact on the Group's business results deriving from changes in commodity prices - is monitored in terms of value-at risk, albeit not hedged in a systematic way. Accordingly, Eni evaluates the opportunity to mitigate its commodity risk exposure by entering into hedging transactions in view of certain acquisition deals of oil and gas reserves as part of the Group's strategy to achieve its growth targets or ordinary asset portfolio management. The Group controls commodity risk with a maximum value-at-risk limit awarded to each business unit. Hedging needs from business units are pooled by Eni Trading & Shipping which also manages its own risk exposure. The three different market risks, whose management and control have been summarized above, are described below.
Exchange rate risk
Exchange rate risk derives from the fact that Eni's operations are conducted in currencies other than the euro (mainly in the U.S. dollar). Revenues and expenses denominated in foreign currencies may be significantly affected by exchange rates fluctuations due to conversion differences on single transaction arising from the time lag existing between execution and definition of relevant contractual terms (economic risk) and conversion of foreign currency-denominated trade and financing payables and receivables (transactional risk). Exchange rate fluctuations affect Group's reported results and net equity as financial statements of subsidiaries denominated in currencies other than the euro are translated from their functional currency into euro (translation risk). Generally, an appreciation of the U.S. dollar versus the euro has a positive impact on Eni's results of operations, and viceversa. Eni's foreign exchange risk management policy is to minimize economic and transactional exposures arising from foreign currency movements. Eni does not undertake any hedging activity for risks deriving from translation of foreign currency denominated profits or assets and liabilities of subsidiaries which prepare financial statements in a currency other than the euro, except for single transactions to be evaluated on a case-by-case basis. Effective management of exchange rate risk is performed within Eni's central finance departments which match opposite positions within Group companies, hedging the Group net exposure through the use of certain derivatives, such as currency swaps, forwards and options. Such derivatives are evaluated at fair value on the basis of market prices provided by specialized sources. Changes in fair value of those derivatives are normally recognized through the profit and loss account as they do not meet the formal criteria to be recognized as hedges in accordance with IAS 39. The VAR techniques are based on variance/covariance simulation models and are used to monitor the risk exposure arising from possible future changes in market values over a 24-hour period within a 99% confidence level and a 20-day holding period.
Interest rate risk
Changes in interest rates affect the market value of financial assets and liabilities of the company and the level of finance charges. Eni's interest rate risk management policy is to minimize risk with the aim to achieve financial structure objectives defined and approved in the management's finance plans. Borrowing requirements of the Group's companies are pooled by the Group's central finance department in order to manage net positions and the funding of portfolio developments consistently with management's plans while maintaining a level of risk exposure within prescribed limits. Eni enters into interest rate derivative transactions, in particular interest rate swaps, to effectively manage the balance between fixed and floating rate debt. Such derivatives are evaluated at fair value on the basis of market prices provided from specialized sources. Changes in fair value of those derivatives are normally recognized through the profit and loss account as they do not meet the formal criteria to be accounted for under the hedge accounting method in accordance with IAS 39. Value at risk deriving from interest rate exposure is measured daily on the basis of a variance/covariance model, with a 99% confidence level and a 20-day holding period.
Commodity risk
Eni's results of operations are affected by changes in the prices of commodities. A decrease in oil and gas prices generally has a negative impact on Eni's results of operations and vice-versa. Eni manages exposure to commodity price risk arising in normal trading and commercial activities in view of achieving stable margins. In order to accomplish this, Eni uses derivatives traded on the organized markets of ICE and NYMEX (futures) and derivatives traded over the counter (swaps, forward, contracts for differences and options) with the underlying commodities being crude oil, refined products or electricity. Such derivatives are evaluated at fair value on the basis of market prices provided from specialized sources or, absent market prices, on the basis of estimates provided by brokers or suitable evaluation techniques. Changes in fair value of those derivatives are normally recognized through the profit and loss account as they do not meet the formal criteria to be recognized as hedges in accordance with IAS 39. Value at risk deriving from commodity exposure is measured daily on the basis of a historical simulation technique, with a 95% confidence level and a one-day holding period. The following table shows amounts in terms of value at risk, recorded in the first half of 2008 (compared with full year 2007) relating to interest rate and exchange rate risks in the first section, and commodity risk in the second section).
(Exchange and interest rate risk: Value at risk - parametric method variance/covariance; holding period: 20 days; confidence level: 99%)
Financial review - Exchange and interest rate risk
(Commodity risk: Value at risk - Historic simulation method; holding period: 1 day; confidence level: 95%)
Financial review - Commodity risk
Credit risk
Credit risk is the potential exposure of the Group to losses in casecounterparties fail to perform or pay amounts due. The Group manages differently credit risk depending on whether credit risk arises from exposure to financial counterparties or to customers relating to outstanding receivables. Individual business units are responsible for managing credit risk arising in the normal course of the business. The Group has established formal credit systems and processes to ensure that before trading with a new counterpart can start, its creditworthiness is assessed. Also credit litigation and receivable collection activities are assessed. The monitoring activity of credit risk exposure is performed at the Group level according to set guidelines and measurement techniques that establish counterparty limits and systems to monitor exposure against limits and report regularly on those exposures. Specifically, credit risk exposure to multi-business clients and exposures higher than the limit set at euro 4 million are closely monitored. Monitoring activities do not include retail clients and public administrations. The assessment methodology assigns a score to individual clients based on publicly available financial data and capital, profitability and liquidity ratios. Based on those scores, an internal credit rating is assigned to each counterparty who is accordingly allocated to its proper risk category. The Group risk categories are comparable to those prepared by the main rating agencies on the marketplace. The Group's internal ratings are also benchmarked against ratings prepared by a specialized external source.
With regard to risk arising from financial counterparties, Eni has established guidelines prior to entering into cash management and derivative contracts to assess the counterparty's financial soundness and rating in view of optimizing the risk profile of financial activities while pursuing operational targets. Maximum limits of risk exposure are set in terms of maximum amounts of credit exposures for categories of counterparties as defined by the Company's Board of Directors taking into accounts the credit ratings provided by the primary credit rating agencies on the marketplace. Credit risk arising from financial counterparties is managed by the Group central finance departments, including Eni's subsidiary Eni Trading&Shipping which specifically engages in commodity derivatives transactions.
Those are the sole Group entities entitled to be party to a financial transactions due to the Group centralized finance model. Eligible financial counterparties are closely monitored to check exposures against limits assigned to each counterparty on a daily basis. Exceptional market conditions have forced the Group to adopt contingency plans and under certain circumstances to suspend eligibility to be a Group financial counterparty. Actions implemented also have been intended to limit incentrations of credit risk by maximising counterparty diversification and turnover. Counterparties have been also selected on a more stringent criteria particularly in transactions on derivatives instruments and with maturity longer than a three-month period. Eni has not experienced material non-performance by any counterparty.
As of December 31, 2007 and 2008, Eni had no significant concentrations of credit risk.
Liquidity risk
Liquidity risk is the risk that suitable sources of funding for the Group may not be available, or the Group is unable to sell its assets on the market place as to be unable to meet short-term finance requirements and to settle obligations. Such a situation would negatively impact the Group results as it would result in the Company incurring higher borrowing expenses to meet its obligations or under the worst of conditions the inability of the Company to continue as a going concern. As part of its financial planning process, Eni manages the liquidity risk by targeting such a capital structure as to allow the Company to maintain a level of liquidity adequate to the Group's needs optimizing the opportunity cost of maintaining liquidity reserves also achieving an efficient balance in terms of maturity and composition of finance debt. The Group capital structure is set according to the Company's industrial targets and within the limits established by the Company's Board of Directors who are responsible for prescribing the maximum ratio of debt to total equity and minimum ratio of medium and long term debt to total debt as well as fixed rate medium and long term debt to total medium and long term debt. In spite of ongoing tough credit market conditions resulting in higher spreads to borrowers, the Company has succeeded in maintaining access to a wide range of funding at competitive rates through the capital markets and banks. The actions implemented as part of Eni's financial planning have enabled the Group to maintain access to the credit market particularly via the issue of commercial paper also targeting to increase the flexibility of funding facilities. The above mentioned actions aimed at ensuring availability of suitable sources of funding to fulfil short term commitments and due obligations also preserving the necessary financial flexibility to support the Group's development plans. In doing so, the Group has pursued an efficient balance of finance debt in terms of maturity and composition leveraging on the structure of its lines of credit particularly the committed ones.
At present, the Group believes it has access to sufficient funding and has also both committed and uncommitted borrowing facilities to meet currently foreseeable borrowing requirements.
As of December 31, 2008, Eni maintained short term committed and uncommitted unused borrowing facilities of €11,099 million, of which €3,313 million were committed, and long term committed unused borrowing facilities of €1,850 million. These facilities were under interest rates that reflected market conditions. Fees charged for unused facilities were not significant.
Eni has in place a programme for the issuance of Euro Medium Term Notes up to €10 billion, of which €6,391 million were drawn as of the balance sheet date.
The Group has debt ratings of AA- and A-1+ respectively for the long and short-term debt assigned by Standard & Poor's and Aa2 and P-1 assigned by Moody's; the outlook is stable for both.
The tables below summarize the Group main contractual obligations for finance debt repayments, including expected payments for interest charges, and trade and other payables maturities.
In addition to finance debt and trade payables presented in the financial statements, the Group has in place a number of contractual obligations arising in the normal course of the business. To meet these commitments, the Group will have to make payments to third parties. The Company's main obligations are certain arrangements to purchase goods or services that are enforceable and legally binding and that specify all significant terms.
Currents and non-current finance debt
Financial review - Current and non-current finance debt
Trade and other payables
Financial review - Trade and other payables
Such arrangements include non-cancellable, long-term contractual obligations to secure access to supply and transport of natural gas, which include take-or-pay clauses whereby the Company obligations consist of off-taking minimum quantities of product or service or paying the corresponding cash amount that entitles the Company to off-take the product in future years. Future obligations in connection with these contracts were calculated by applying the forecasted prices of energy or services included in the four-year business plan approved by the Company's Board of Directors and on the basis of the long-term market scenarios used by Eni for planning purposes to minimum take and minimum ship quantities.
The table below summarizes the Group principal contractual obligations as of the balance sheet date, shown on an undiscounted basis.
Expected payments by period under contractual obligaions and commercial commitments
Financial review - Expected payments by period
The table below summarizes Eni's capital expenditure commitments for property, plant and equipment and capital projects at December 31, 2008.
Capital expenditures are considered to be committed when the project has received the appropriate level of internal management approval. Such costs are included in the amounts shown.
Financial review - Capital expenditure committments
Country risk
Substantial portions of Eni's hydrocarbons reserves are located in countries outside the EU and North America, certain of which may be politically or economically less stable than EU or North American. At December 31, 2007, approximately 70% of Eni's proved hydrocarbons reserves were located in such countries. Similarly, a substantial portion of Eni's natural gas supplies comes from countries outside the EU and North America.
In 2007, approximately 60% of Eni's domestic supply of natural gas came from such countries. Developments in the political framework, economic crisis, social unrest can compromise temporarily or permanently Eni's ability to operate or to economically operate in such countries, and to have access to oil and gas reserves. Further risks related to the activity undertaken in these countries, are represented by: (i) lack of well established and reliable legal systems and uncertainties surrounding enforcement of contractual rights; (ii) unfavourable developments in laws and regulations leading to expropriation of Eni's titles and mineral assets, changes in unilateral contractual clauses reducing value of Eni's assets; (iii) restrictions on exploration, production, imports and exports; (iv) tax or royalty increases; (v) civil and social unrest leading to sabotages, acts of violence and incidents. While the occurrence of these events is unpredictable, it is possible that they can have a material adverse impact on Eni's financial condition and results of operations. Eni periodically monitors political, social and economic risks of approximately 60 countries where it has invested, or, with regard to upstream projects evaluation, where Eni is planning to invest in order to assess returns of single projects based also on the evaluation of each country's risk profile. Country risk is mitigated in accordance with guidelines on risk management defined in the procedure "Project risk assessment and management". In the most recent years, unfavourable developments in the regulatory framework, mainly regarding tax issues, have been implemented or announced also in EU countries and in North America.
Operational risk
Eni's business activities conducted in and outside of Italy are subject to a broad range of laws and regulations, including specific rules concerning oil and gas activities currently in force in countries in which it operates. In particular, those laws and regulations require the acquisition of a licence before exploratory drilling may commence and compliance with health, safety and environment standards. Environmental laws impose restrictions on the types, quantities and concentration of various substances that can be released into the environment and on discharges to surface and subsurface water. In particular Eni is required to follow strict operating practices and standards to protect biodiversity when exploring for, drilling and producing oil and gas in certain ecologically sensitive locations (protected areas). Breach of environmental, health and safety laws exposes employees to criminal and civil liability and in the case of violation of certain rules regarding safety on the workplace also companies can be liable as provided for by a general EU rule on businesses liability due to negligent or wilful conduct on part of their employees as adopted in Italy with Law Decree No. 231/2001.
Environmental, health and safety laws and regulations have a substantial impact on Eni's operations and expenses and liabilities that Eni may incur in relation to compliance with environmental, health and safety laws and regulations are expected to remain material to the group's results of operations or financial position in future years. Recently enacted regulation of safety and health of the workplace in Italy will impose a new array of obligations to the Company operations, particularly regarding contractors. New regulation prescribe that a company adopts certified operational and organizational systems whereby the Company can discharge possible liabilities due to a violation of health and security standards on condition that adopted operational systems and processes worked properly and were effective.
Eni has adopted guidelines for assessing and managing health, safety and environmental (HSE) risks, with the objective of protecting Eni's employees, the populations involved in its activity, contractors and clients, and the environment and being in compliance with local and international rules and regulations. Eni's guidelines prescribe the adoption of international best practices in setting internal principles, standards and solutions.
The ongoing process for identifying, evaluating and managing HSE operations in each phase of the business activity and is performed through the adoption of procedures and effective pollution management systems tailored on the peculiarities of each business and industrial site and on steady enhancement of plants and process. Additionally, coding activities and procedures on operating phases allow reduce the human component in the plant risk management. Operating emergencies that may have an adverse impact on the assets, people and the environment are managed by the business units for each site. These units manage the HSE risk through a systematic way that involves having emergency response plans in place with a number of corrective actions to be taken that minimise damage in the event of an incident. In the case of major crisis, Divisions/Entities are assisted by the Eni Unit of Crises to deal with the emergency through a team which has the necessary training and skills to coordinate in a timely and efficient manner resources and facilities. The integrated management system on health, safety and environmental matters is supported by the adoption of a Eni's Model of HSE operations in all the Division and companies of Eni Group. This is a procedure based on an annual cycle of planning, implementation, control, review of results and definition of new objectives. The model is directed towards the prevention of risks, the systematic monitoring and control of HSE performance, in a continuous improvement cycle, also subject to audits by internal and independent experts. Major refining and petrochemical facilities of Eni are certified to international environmental standards, such as ISO14001, OHSAS 18001 and EMAS. Eni provides a program of specific training and development for HSE staff in order to:
(i) Promote the execution of behaviours consistent with guidelines.
(ii) Drive people's learning growth process by developing professionalism, management and corporate culture.
(iii) Support management knowledge and control of HSE risks.
Possible evolution of the Italian gas market
Legislative Decree No. 164/2000 opened the Italian natural gas market to competition, impacting on Eni's activities, as the company is engaged in all the phases of the natural gas chain. The opening to competition was achieved through the enactment of certain antitrust thresholds on volumes input into the national transport network and on volumes sold to final customers. These enabled new competitors to enter the Italian gas market, resulting in declining selling margins on gas. Other material aspects regarding the Italian gas sector regulation are the regulated access to natural gas infrastructure (transport backbones, storage fields, distribution networks and LNG terminals), the Code adopted by the Authority for Electricity and Gas on the issue of unbundling which forbids a controlling entity from interfering in the decision-making process of its subsidiaries running gas transport and distribution infrastructures and the circumstance that the Authority for Electricity and Gas is entrusted with certain powers in the matters of natural gas pricing and in establishing tariffs for the use of natural gas infrastructures. Particularly, the Authority for Electricity and Gas holds a general surveillance power on pricing in the natural gas market in Italy and the power to establish selling tariffs for supply of natural gas to residential and commercial users consuming less than 200,000 cm per year (qualified as non eligible customers at December 31, 2002 as defined by Legislative Decree No. 164/2000) taking into account the public goal of containing the inflationary pressure due to rising energy costs. Accordingly, decisions of the Authority on these matters may limit the ability of Eni to pass an increase in the cost of fuels onto final consumers of natural gas. As a matter of fact, following a complex and lengthy administrative procedure started in 2004 and finalized in March 2007 with Resolution No. 79/2007, the Authority finally established a new indexation mechanism for updating the raw material cost component in supplies to residential and commercial users consuming less than 200,000 cubic metres per year, establishing, among other things: (i) that an increase in the international price of Brent crude oil is only partially transferred to residential and commercial users of natural gas in case international prices of Brent crude oil exceed the 35 dollars per barrel threshold; and (ii) that Italian natural gas importers - including Eni - must renegotiate wholesale supply contracts in order to take account of this new indexation mechanism.
Also certain provisions of law may limit the Company ability to set commercial margins. Specifically, Law Decree No.112 enacted in June 2008 forbids energy companies like Eni to pass to prices to final customers higher income taxes incurred in connection with a supplemental tax rate of 5.5 percentage points introduced by the same decree on energy companies with a yearly turnover in excess of €25 million. The Authority for Electricity and Gas is in charge of monitoring compliance with the rule. The Authority has subsequently established with a set of deliberation that energy companies have to adopt effective operational and monitoring systems certified by the Company CEO in order to prevent unlawful increases of final prices of gas.
In order to meet the medium and long-term demand for natural gas, in particular in the Italian market, Eni entered into long-term purchase contracts with producing countries. These contracts which contain take-or-pay clauses will ensure by 2010 total supply volumes of approximately 62.4 bcm/y of natural gas to Eni (excluding take-or-pay volumes coming from Distrigaz acquisition which will destined to supply the Belgian market). Despite the fact that an increasing portion of natural gas volumes purchased under said contracts is planned to be marketed outside Italy, management believes that in the long-term unfavourable trends in the Italian demand and supply for natural gas, also taking into account the start-up of new import capacity to the Italian market by Eni and third parties as well as implementation of all publicly announced plans for the construction of new import infrastructures (backbone upgrading and new LNG terminals), and developments within the Italian regulatory framework, represent risk factors for the ability of the Company to meet its contractual obligations in connection with its take-or-pay supply contracts. Particularly, should natural gas demand in Italy grow at a lower pace than management expectations, also in view of the expected build-up of natural gas supplies to the Italian market, the Company could face a further increase in competitive pressure on the Italian gas market resulting in a negative impact on its selling margins, taking account of Eni's gas availability under take-or-pay supply contracts and risks in executing its expansion plans to grow sales volumes in European markets.
Specific risks associated with the exploration and production of oil and natural gas
The exploration and production of oil and natural gas requires high levels of capital expenditure and entails particular economic risks. It is subject to natural hazards and other uncertainties including those relating to the physical characteristics of oil or natural gas fields. Exploratory activity involves numerous risks including the risk of dry holes or failure to find commercial quantities of hydrocarbons. Developing and marketing hydrocarbons reserves typically requires several years after a discovery is made. This is because a development project involves an array of complex and lengthy activities, including appraising a discovery in order to evaluate its commerciality, sanctioning a development project and building and commissioning relating facilities. As a consequence, rates of return of such long lead- time projects are exposed to the volatility of oil and gas prices and the risk of an increase in developing and lifting costs, resulting in lower rates of return. This set of circumstances is particularly important to those projects intended to develop reserves located in deep water and harsh environments, where the majority of Eni's planned and ongoing projects is located.
Cyclicality of the oil and gas sector
The current global economic downturn and falling manufacturing levels have been causing a sharp reduction in worldwide energy demand leading to plummeting energy commodity prices. Under current circumstances, there exists limited visibility on the timing of a recovery in energy demand and prices. A prolonged period of weak oil and gas prices represents a critical issue to the sustainability of capital budgeting and plans of oil and gas companies due to the specific features of oil and gas projects. Those projects are normally long lead- time projects involving lengthy and complex activities for assessing a project and develop and market hydrocarbons. As a consequence, rates of return of such projects are exposed to the volatility of oil and gas prices which may be substantially lower with respect to prices assumed when the investment decision was made, resulting in lower rates of return. Accordingly, during a downturn in the oil cycle, oil and gas companies adjust their capital plans by means of rescheduling individual investment projects based on their expected returns and risk profiles also considering the impact of capital plans on liquidity and the financial position.
Eni plans to invest €48.8 billion in the four-year period 2009-2012 of that amount 67% or €32.6 billion will be dedicated to explore for and develop oil and gas reserves to support achievement of the Company's growth targets and reserve replacement. The above mentioned capital plan is in line with the previous industrial plan adopted by the Company due to the following reasons: (i) the Company has maintained in the years a prudent approach when defining price assumptions to make investment decisions; (ii) the Company can leverage on a project portfolio of high quality due to a low price of break-even on average; (iii) the Company expects that oilfield service rates and purchase costs of materials and support equipment will decrease as a consequence of the current economic downturn; (iv) the share of investments that will be dedicated to regulated activities in the Italian gas sector which bear preset rates of return. Additionally, a significant portion equalling to approximately 50% of Eni's capital plan has still to be committed which ensures the Company a high degree of flexibility in terms of capacity to reschedule capita expenditures should market conditions further deteriorate.
Lower crude oil prices represent an uncertainty also to reserve replacement activities. In fact, lower oil prices trigger two opposite factors of reserve revisions.
On the positive side, a larger amount of reserves is booked in connection with the Company production sharing agreements and similar contractual schemes. Under such contracts, the Company is entitled to receive a portion of the production, the sale of which should cover expenditures incurred and earn the Company a share of profit. Accordingly, the lower the reference prices for crude oil used to determine production and reserves entitlements, the higher the number of barrels to cover the same dollar amounts hence the amounts of booked reserves. On the negative side, downward revisions of reserves occur for those projects that are no longer economic based on oil prices that are significantly lower than those at which they were originally assessed and sanctioned.
OUTLOOK
Management expects market volatility and the current economic downturn to continue well into calendar year 2009. The Company's key assumptions for 2009 are average Brent prices at $43 per barrel, flat European gas demand and lower refining margins with respect to 2008. In this environment, management expectations regarding key operating drivers of Eni's business for the year 2009 are as follows:
- Production of liquids and natural gas: is forecast to increase from 2008 (actual oil and gas production averaged 1,797 mmboe/d in 2008). Organic growth expected in Nigeria, Angola, Congo and the Gulf of Mexico will sustain production performance against expected mature field declines;
- Sales volumes of natural gas worldwide: are forecast to increase from 2008 (actual sales volumes in 2008 were 104.23 bcm) reflecting full contribution from the acquisition of Distrigas and the impact of marketing initiatives aimed at supporting European market share. Sales in Italy are expected to decrease mainly due to competitive pressures and demand slowdown amidst the economic downturn;
- Refining throughputs on Eni's account: are expected to increase from 2008 (actual throughputs in 2008 were 35.84 mmtonnes) as a result of improved operating performance expected at the Taranto and Gela refineries;
- Retail sales of refined products in Italy and the rest of Europe are expected to decrease from 2008 (12.67 mmtonnes in 2008) reflecting the divestment of marketing activities in the Iberian Peninsula and an expected demand slowdown affecting fuel consumption in European markets.
In 2009 management expects slightly lower capital expenditures with respect to 2008 (€14.56 billion in 2008). The activities over the course of the year will be focused on the development of oil and natural gas reserves, the upgrading of existing construction vessels and rigs, and the upgrading of natural gas transport infrastructures. On the basis of planned cash outflows to fund capital expenditures, including the completion of the Distrigas acquisition, and shareholder remuneration, taking into account the Company projections of cash flow at $43 per Brent barrel, management expects the Group to achieve a level of leverage that will be lower than the level of 0.38 reported in 2008, assuming that Gazprom exercises its call options to purchase a 20% interest in OAO Gazprom Neft held by Eni, and a 51% interest in the three Russian gas companies in which Eni holds a 60% interest.